A proportionate answer.
WHAT IS ACTUALLY HAPPENING
Tasks within jobs are changing faster than jobs are disappearing.
Most roles contain tasks AI does well and tasks it does not.
WHICH TASKS ARE MOST AFFECTED
Routine writing and drafting Summarising First-pass categorisation Basic research Simple code
WHICH ARE LEAST
Physical work Work requiring accountability Relationship-based work Anything where being wrong is serious Work requiring context AI cannot access
WHAT BECOMES MORE VALUABLE
Judgement. Knowing what to ask for and whether the answer is right.
Verification. Being able to tell when output is wrong.
WHAT TO DO ABOUT IT
Learn to use the tools well. That is more useful than predicting the outcome.
Keep the skills that let you evaluate output.
WHAT IS UNCERTAIN
The pace, and how quickly new roles emerge.
Be sceptical of confident predictions in either direction.
