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Why Does AI Sound So Confident? Print

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Tone and accuracy.

THE MECHANISM

It produces text resembling its training data, which is mostly confident prose.

Hedging is comparatively rare in written text, so hedging is comparatively rare in output.

WHY THIS IS DANGEROUS

Fluency and accuracy are separate properties.

A fabricated answer reads exactly like a correct one.

WHAT THIS MEANS

You cannot judge reliability from how it sounds.

That instinct, which serves you well with people, misleads you here.

CAN YOU MAKE IT LESS CONFIDENT

Somewhat. "State clearly where you are uncertain" helps, imperfectly.

WHAT TO TRUST MORE

Answers about material you supplied Widely documented subjects Reasoning you can follow and check

WHAT TO TRUST LESS

Specific figures Citations Recent events Anything local or obscure

THE HABIT

Ask what happens if this particular statement is wrong. Verify in proportion.


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