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Evaluating Language and Technology Trends Print

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Judging what matters.

WHAT TO BE SCEPTICAL OF

Claims that a language is dead Claims that a new language replaces an established one Benchmarks presented without context Enthusiasm from people with an interest

WHAT ACTUALLY INDICATES ADOPTION

Job advertisements Production use by organisations Library ecosystem growth Long-term maintenance activity

WHAT INDICATES LITTLE

Discussion volume Popularity in surveys of enthusiasts Conference attention

WHAT TO ASK ABOUT ANY NEW TECHNOLOGY

What problem does this solve that existing tools do not? Who is maintaining it, and will they continue? What happens if it is abandoned?

WHAT TO WAIT FOR

Evidence of production use over years.

WHY

Most new technologies do not persist, and adopting early means carrying the risk.

WHEN EARLY ADOPTION IS DEFENSIBLE

When the problem is genuinely unsolved by existing tools On something not critical

WHAT TO AVOID

Rewriting working systems to follow a trend.

WHAT TO KEEP LEARNING

Fundamentals, which outlast every trend.


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