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Analysing Seasonality Print

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Understanding your year.

WHY IT MATTERS

Most businesses are seasonal, and many owners underestimate how much.

HOW TO ESTABLISH IT

Plot monthly figures across two or three years.

The repeating pattern is the seasonality.

WHAT TO CALCULATE

Each month's typical share of the annual total.

WHAT THAT ENABLES

Judging whether a month is genuinely poor Planning stock, staffing and cash Setting monthly targets that reflect reality

THE TARGET POINT

An equal monthly target in a seasonal business guarantees failure in some months and complacency in others.

WHAT TO ADJUST FOR

Holidays falling differently Months of different lengths One-off events in the history

WHAT TO PLAN AROUND

The quiet period: cash, maintenance, development

The busy period: capacity, stock, staffing

WHAT TO DO IN QUIET PERIODS

Work on the business rather than reducing effort.

WHAT TO RECORD

The pattern, and revisit it annually.


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