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What Are Precision and Recall? Print

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Measuring what a system catches and misses.

THE DEFINITIONS

Precision: of the items flagged, how many were correct

Recall: of the items that should have been flagged, how many were

WHY ACCURACY ALONE MISLEADS

If one per cent of transactions are fraudulent, a system predicting no fraud ever is ninety-nine per cent accurate and useless.

THE TRADE-OFF

Increasing one usually decreases the other.

A fraud system catching everything also flags many legitimate transactions.

WHICH MATTERS MORE

Depends on the cost of each kind of error.

Missing a fraudulent transaction versus blocking a legitimate customer.

Missing a disease versus an unnecessary test.

That is a business decision, not a technical one.

WHAT TO ASK A VENDOR

Not "how accurate is it" but "what does it miss, and what does it flag wrongly".

RELATED TERMS

Benchmark, false positive, model evaluation.


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