An honest look at the effects.
WHAT IS ACTUALLY HAPPENING
Tasks within jobs are changing faster than jobs are disappearing.
A role frequently contains tasks AI does well and tasks it does not.
WHICH TASKS ARE MOST AFFECTED
Routine writing and drafting Summarising and extracting information First-pass categorisation Simple code Basic research
WHICH ARE LEAST AFFECTED
Physical work Work requiring accountability and judgement Relationship-based work Anything where being wrong is serious Work requiring context AI cannot access
WHAT THIS MEANS FOR INDIVIDUALS
The valuable skills shift toward judgement, verification, direction and accountability.
Knowing what to ask for and whether the answer is right becomes more valuable than producing the first draft.
WHAT IT MEANS FOR BUSINESSES
Capacity increases in drafting-heavy work. That can mean doing more rather than employing fewer people.
WHAT IS UNCERTAIN
The pace, the distribution of effects, and how quickly new roles emerge.
THE PRACTICAL ADVICE
Learn to use the tools well. That is more useful than predicting the outcome.
